The Turkish colonies of Europe

Turkey has used Europe as colonial territory for over 600 years. Before the Europeans were colonizing the New World, the Turks were infiltrating Southeastern Europe and conquering ample portions of the Balkans for tax harvesting and exporting their excess population.

One of the greatest impacts of the Ottoman colonization process of the Balkans was felt in the urban centres, many towns became major centres for Turkish control and administration, with most Christians gradually withdrawing to the mountains. The Ottomans embarked on creating new towns and repopulating older towns that had suffered significant population decline and economic dislocation during the wars preceding the Ottoman conquests. . . .

Most urban centres in the Balkans, especially in Thrace, Macedonia, Thessaly, and Moesia, achieved Muslim/Turkish majorities or substantial minorities soon after the completion of the conquest and remained overwhelmingly Muslim in composition into the eighteenth century, and in some areas such as Macedonia and Bulgaria well into the nineteenth century. . . .

At present, there are still significant Turkish minorities living in Bulgaria, the province of East Macedonia and Thrace in Northern Greece, Kosovo, the Republic of Macedonia, and Romania.

Fast forward to today. Turkey has an economy nearly the size of Spain’s and larger than Canada’s. More importantly, the country has nearly 80 million people, with a growth rate over 1 percent per annum.

Over the last three generations, Turks have been easing their demographic burden back home by making colonial inroads into many European countries. This has occurred most notably in Germany with the Gastarbeiter program, but almost all Western European countries now have a sizable Turkish minority.

Best of all—for the Turks—is that they do not have to deal with the pain of conquering and subjugating the Europeans this time around. Europeans in power are happy to let them take advantage of their lax immigration laws and multicultural sentimentalities. At the working Europeans’ expense, Turks are free to consume welfare, send it home, and make more babies in Europe than they would even back home.

So, three generations on, how big is the Turkish “diaspora” (i.e., colony) in Europe?

Well, Germany has nearly 3 million Turks, France has close to 1 million, and Britain, Austria, and the Netherlands all have about half a million each. Percentage-wise, the numbers are highest in Germany and the Netherlands, where almost 5% of the population is Turkish.

 

 

Demographic conquest is disturbing enough, but lately the Turkish government has been getting more bellicose toward Europeans, leveraging both the bioweapon of the “Syrian” “refugees” to further their political ends, in addition to promoting natality among the Turks in Europe, possibly to become another bioweapon against the (remaining) natives in the future:

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Friday urged Turks resident in Europe to have five children, telling the millions strong diaspora community “you are Europe’s future.”

The situation in the Netherlands became tense this year leading up to the election, when Turks rioted as a result of a international dispute between the two countries, making it clear that many Turks’ retain strong loyalties to Turkey.

In the Netherlands alone, about 250,000 Turks have dual citizenship. The Dutch army has fewer than 60,000 active personnel.

13 million fewer Germans

As in most European countries, Germany does not meticulously track the ethnic background of its citizens, which can make it difficult to determine the population growth rate of the native German population.

However, the German census in 2011, indicates that about 80% of the population was ethnically German with no immigrant background, for a total number of 64.7 million.

Extrapolating backward in time, assuming the population was fairly homogenous around 1955, we can approximate the ethnic German population growth rate.

Year Total Population Native Population (est.) Native Percentage Native Growth Rate (annualized)
1955 71313740 71000000 99% 0.30%
1960 73179665 72000000 98% 0.28%
1965 75990737 73000000 96% 0.28%
1970 78366605 74000000 96% 0.27%
1975 78667327 75000000 96% 0.27%
1980 78159527 75000000 96% 0.00%
1985 77570009 74000000 95% -0.27%
1990 78958237 73500000 93% -0.16%
1995 81612900 73000000 89% -0.13%
2000 81895925 71000000 86% -0.55%
2005 81246801 68000000 83% -1.13%
2010 80435307 65000000 80% -0.88%
2015 82000000 62000000 75% -0.92%
2020 83000000 58000000 69% -1.29%

While Germany as a whole has remained stable, the ethnic German population likely peaked at about 75 million in 1975 through 1980 and has been in decline ever since.

So, there were about 13 million fewer Germans alive in 2015. That is a decline of 17%, which matches the declines in the Baltic. This is not surprising given the Germans’ long-term low birth rates.

Since Germans are now on average 47 years old (and that number includes the younger immigrant generation), we can easily assume that the decline will only accelerate.

Projecting out to 2020, ethnic Germans fall to about 58 million, which is just under 70% of the total population.

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American exceptionalism (for the developed world)

Ron Unz notes in his epic piece,  China’s Rise, America’s Fall, that America stands in stark contrast to much of the developed world where populations are stable or growing at a rate much lower than 1 percent per year:

Ironically enough, there is actually one major category in which American expansion still easily tops that of China, both today and for the indefinite future: population growth. The rate of America’s demographic increase passed that of China over 20 years ago and has been greater every year since, sometimes by as much as a factor of two. According to standard projections, China’s population in 2050 will be almost exactly what it was in 2000, with the country having achieved the population stability typical of advanced, prosperous societies. But during that same half-century, the number of America’s inhabitants will have grown by almost 50 percent, a rate totally unprecedented in the developed world and actually greater than that found in numerous Third World countries such as Colombia, Algeria, Thailand, Mexico, or Indonesia.

However, as Unz continues, this growth is not necessarily something to be excited about:

A combination of very rapid population growth and doubtful prospects for equally rapid economic growth does not bode well for the likely quality of the 2050 American Dream.

There was a crossroads in the last century when America could have chosen to remain on a low growth/high income path and become more like Canada or Japan.

Instead, America chose high growth route and greatly accelerated immigration, not just illegal, but also legal.

Not surprisingly, real per capita income has barely budged for the masses, while quality of life has gone down in many respects. Income inequality has soared, but few people dare to link this to immigration–which is the primary source of American population growth.

Niger’s fertility rate higher than it was in 1955

In 1955, Niger’s total fertility rate was 7.28; in 2017 it’s up to 7.6. The population grew at a pace of 3% per year then, now it’s 4.1%.

Of course, Niger had fewer than 3 million people in 1955. Now there are at least 21 million. By 2050, this landlocked desert country is expected to grow to 72 million.

So what does this all add up to? Well, for one, Niger scores dead last on the human development index.

It’s hard to imagine 72 million people in a country that looks like this:

 

 

Latvia shows substantial increase in fertility

Latvia, the tiny Baltic country of ~2 million, has experienced a significant boost in TFR, inching closer to the replacement level of 2.1 per woman:

Latvia has been showing the fastest increase in the fertility rate among EU member states as the average number of live births per woman in Latvia rose from 1.22 in 2001 to 1.7 in 2015, or by 0.48 births, according to the latest demography data released by Eurostat on Wednesday.

Other European countries, notably those in the East, have also made gains:

The Eurostat data shows that the Czech Republic achieved the second fastest growth of the fertility rate (+0.42), followed by Lithuania (+0.41), Slovenia (+0.36), Bulgaria (+0.32), Romania (+0.31), Sweden (0.28) and Estonia (+0.26).

Although this may slow the decline, it’s worth remembering that the Baltic has faced enormous declines due to EU emigration, low overall fertility, and non-stellar life expectancy.

According to the World Population Review:

The Baltic region as a whole has lost more than 20% of its population since 1992. It is believed that this is the most rapidly depopulating region of the world. There has been no population growth in Latvia since 1992.

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